Tyreek Hill 2019 Fantasy Football Outlook

KANSAS CITY, Mo. — Tyreek Hill has been cleared to report to Chiefs training camp next week after the NFL said Friday it would not suspend the star wide receiver under its personal conduct policy after a domestic violence case involving his 3-year-old son.

“Based on the evidence presently available, the NFL cannot conclude that Mr. Hill violated the Personal Conduct Policy,” the NFL said in a statement. “He may attend Kansas City’s training camp and participate in all club activities. He has been and will continue to be subject to conditions set forth by the District Court, Commissioner (Roger) Goodell, and the Chiefs, which include clinical evaluation and therapeutic intervention.”

The Chiefs report to training camp at Missouri Western State University in St. Joseph, Missouri, next week. Their first full-squad workout is scheduled for July 27.

Tyreek Hill was incredible in 2018 for the Kansas City Chiefs. If you has the Mahomes/Hill stack on your fantasy football team you won a lot of games. Heck I won a redraft and a dynasty championship off of it in 2018.

Tyreek Hill in 2018 caught 87 of 137 targets for 1479 yards and 12 touchdowns. Hill also rushed the football 22 times for 151 yards and 1 touchdown. Hill averaged 17.8 fantasy points per game for a total of 284.5 points in .5 PPR leagues. Hill finished as the number one overall but finished 3rd behind Davante Adams and Antonio Brown in points per game.

We know who Tyreek Hill is, he is a speed guy that can beat the defenders downfield and let Patrick Mahomes air the ball out and catch a lot of long touchdowns. Hill can also run across the field on a slant and catch the ball in stride, and take it to the house. Hill also had a few touchdowns from the shovel pass that is more like a rush/jet sweep type of play but still counts as a reception and receiving touchdown.

Maddie Meyer | Getty Images)

Tyreek Hill was a massive boom/bust type of player in 2018. When he was on, he finished as the number 1 wide receiver on the week. When Hill was off, he finished as a WR 4. Hill finished as a WR 1, 43.75% of the time and he finished as a WR 1 or 2, 56.25% of the time. The downside is he finished as a WR 4, 31.25% of the time.

Tyreek Hill finished as the wide receiver 1 or 2, 5 out of 16 weeks. In weeks 3 and 4 Hill finished as the wide receiver 50, and 40 respectively. In week 3 the Chiefs played the 49ers and hill only caught 2 of 5 targets for only 51 yards. In week 4 against the Broncos in Denver Hill caught 9 of 13 targets for 54 yards. He averaged a terrible 4.15 yards per target that game. He just couldn’t get free down the field and couldn’t break anything.

In week 8 Hill finished as the 39th WR catching 3 of 4 targets for 70 yards against the Broncos. A Piece of advice, don’t play Hill against the Broncos. Finally in week 13 against the Oakland Raiders Hill caught 1 of 6 targets for 13 yards. I was really glad this was the week before the playoffs, otherwise I wouldn’t have won those championships.

Tyreek Hill received 23.5% of the targets, 22.6% of the receptions, 28.9% of the receiving yards, and 24% of the teams receiving touchdowns. He is heavily involved in the teams offense and this will continue in 2019.

I think Hill will have slight regression in 2019. This is in large part due to Patrick Mahomes having regression. Mahomes will not put up the same season as he did in 2018. His 2018 season was one of the top 5 seasons of all time.

In 2019 I have Hill finishing as the number 7 WR.

Right now his ADP is the 3.09 as the 14th wide receiver off the board as of July 20th. His ADP will rise all the way to the late 1st early 2nd round by the time prime time drafting rolls around.

Don’t take Hill as the number 1 wide receiver he will not repeat and finish there. If Hill doesn’t score a touchdown he will not catch enough passes to make you feel good playing him. His stat line last season proves. Hill will be a solid WR 1 on your team just not overall. If you are drafting late in the 1st round and you take him and a WR who is consistent and catches a lot of passes like Davante Adams you will be off to a great start in your draft.

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