Preseason Risers and Fallers – 2019 Fantasy FootballTweet
In fantasy football you spend so much time in the offseason putting work into projections and rankings that you may forget to adjust them once preseason comes around. This article will go through 3 players I have risen on since the start of preseason and 3 players I have fallen on since the start of preseason.
Dede Westbrook has been someone over the offseason I simply ignored and thought there would be no value at the wide receiver position in Jacksonville. There is no doubt that Nick Foles is a better quarterback then Blake Bortles.
So far in preseason we have seen plenty of hype for Dede but in week 3 of the preseason we were able to see him featured in this offense and he looked great. He went 4 of 7 for 29 yards and 1 touchdown with the starters. Last season with Bortles, Dede caught 66 of 101 for 717 and 5 touchdowns. I think he has the possibility of being a top 24 wide receiver this year with Foles. Nick Foles has sustained quality wide receivers before and I think he will do it with Dede. The best part is you can get him late in your drafts. He is being drafted as the 33 wide receiver off the board and that is right where he finished last season. Where you have to draft him you will get a return on investment and at worst you will get a solid flex play and not a good WR 2.
Lamar Jackson is a later round quarterback you can take that could win you your league. He surprisingly had a high completion percentage last season. As a 21 year old he had the highest rookie passer rating in NFL history.
So far this preseason compared to 2018 he has raised his passer rating to 105.5. The best part about drafting Lamar is that he has that rushing floor you are looking for in a late round QB. In 7 games last year Jackson ran 147 times for 695 yards and 6 touchdowns. This is the best rushing QB we have seen since Michael Vick. Jackson could break Vick’s 2006 rushing yardage mark in 2019. The Ravens design run plays for him and in 4 point per passing touchdown leagues Jackson becomes a cheat code. Finally, Jackson has already showed improvement in passing but this year he was able to practice with the 1’s the whole offseason and he is bound to get better as a passer. Meaning, his passing stats will go up and he could throw for 3,000 yards, 30 touchdowns and also rush for over 1,000 yards and 10 touchdowns.
Nick Chubb has shot up draft boards in recent weeks. With the Browns trading Duke Johnson to the Texans it appears as though Chubb will be the main running back on the team until Kareem Hunt returns later in the season.
Last season once Chubb got the rushing work he was incredible. He rushed the ball 192 times for 996 yards and 8 touchdowns. He also caught 20 passes for 149 yards and 2 touchdowns. I see only more of the same for Chubb in 2019.
Nick Chubb is being taken as the 7th running back off the board at the 1.09 and I think that is an okay spot to take him. If you’re sitting in the 10-12 pick area and you get him as your RB 1 I think you will doing good.
Don’t worry about Kareem Hunt coming back to this team. At best he comes back week 10 and there is a 0% chance he will get thrown into the mix and get at least 50% of the snaps. The Browns will work him in slowly and Chubb will be balling out, there will be no concern he will be just as good for the playoffs or maybe he loses a few drives. If you draft him make sure you good running back depth just in case Hunt does get 50% of the work.
Derrick Henry won some guys some championships last season, but I just cannot see him doing the same this season. Henry was a guy who was terrible throughout the year and then had a few great games at the end. Recency bias will play an effect in peoples mind when they draft him. They will only remember the good end not the whole season.
Last year Henry finished as a RB 4 or worse seven times. Right now he is being drafted as the 21st running back off the board at the 4.03. At that spot I will not be drafting him. He does not catch the football, he had a calf strain in training camp and allowed Dion Lewis to get more work with the new coaching staff, and he is incredibly inconsistent.
Final note on Henry. He only caught 15 passes last year compared to Lewis’s 59. Lewis also got 159 rushes. Lewis will be involved and as long as Henry is rehabbing and getting back to 100% he gets to continue to show off in front of the new coaching staff. I think Henry is being drafted to high for what you are getting with him.
Coming into draft season Dante Pettis was the clear cut number one wide receiver for the San Francisco 49ers. Now, there are reports that Pettis needs to “earn his role” on the team.
This preseason Pettis is only 3 of 7 for 36 yards. In 2018 Pettis went 27 of 45 for 467 yards and 5 touchdowns in 12 games. He was the best receiver on the team but he was playing with almost no other quality targets minus Kittle. He was also playing with backup quarterbacks. Pettis this year has to compete with multiple wide receivers, running backs, and George Kittle.
His ceiling of being a top 24 wide receiver seems to have collapsed and now he is at best a WR 3/flex play at his current ADP of 8.08.
Remember the times when Darrell Henderson was being drafted in the 5th round? Yeah, me too. Since then Henderson has done nothing but fall in ADP. He went form that 5th/6th round pick to now an 8th round pick. That is still WAY to high!
Henderson is a backup running back at best. We also don’t even know if he is the true backup. Malcolm Brown an John Kelly is still on the team. He has been the backup on the team and the Rams chose to bring him back this offseason when he could have left and went to Detroit. If Gurley goes down there is no guarantee it will be Henderson. It also does not help that Henderson has looked awful in preseason. Henderson has 57 yards on 23 attempts and no touchdowns, YUCK.
Preseason Risers and Fallers – 2019 Fantasy FootballTweet