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Week 16 Fantasy Football Projections & Insights

Week 16 Fantasy Football Projections & Insights

With the fantasy football season wrapping up and the playoffs in full swing, it is important for owners to make the right calls on who to play and who to sit in their lineup, as one (1) mistake could prove to be very costly. This article is will provide you with some insight, which may help you make the right call on some of the tough decisions this week brings. Players include Le’Veon Bell, Melvin Gordon, Marlon Mack, Breshad Perriman, T.Y. Hilton and more!

Le’Veon Bell:

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This week the Jets will be facing the Steelers, Le’Veon Bell’s former team, which ended with him holding out the entire 2018 season and accusations from him accusing the organization of devaluing his worth. During the Wednesday weekly press conference, Jets head coach Adam Gase was asked about Le’Veon and the revenge factor for him. The coach responded by saying “he’s always the same and a pretty level guy”, which is concerning in my opinion, as we know he can be emotional via social media and we are talking about one of the biggest competitors in the game. This says to me that Le’Veon Bell does not care about this season and does not care about being a Jet anymore. I expect much of the same from Le’Veon who has not reached 100 yards in a single game yet this season. Put him in the low RB2/flex range this game.  

Projection: 8.5 pts

Nick Chubb:

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During the Wednesday weekly press conference, Browns head coach Freddie Kitchens was asked about the changes to the Ravens defense and if there is anything they [the Browns] can still take away from their previous Week 4 matchup, which resulted in a monster day for Nick Chubb with 183 total yards and three (3) touchdowns on 20 rushing attempts and three (3) receptions. The head coach responded by saying “I think so, in the run game we did some good things. We know that we will have to be able to run the ball and we have to be able to run the ball when we want to run the ball.” Based on the coach’s response, it appears there is an emphasis this week on running the ball, which sets up another big game for the current NFL season leading rusher. It is also noted that the Ravens have allowed the eighth-most yards per carry to tailbacks this season. Expect Chubb to have 20+ rushing attempts and RB1 production.    

Projection: 18.5 pts

Melvin Gordon:

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Last week against the Vikings, Melvin Gordon had an abysmal performance with two (2) fumbles lost on a low seven (7) rushes for 28 yards and five (5) receptions for 36 yards. However, this week they will be against the Raiders who are 21st against the run and are an inviting matchup for fantasy owners. During the Wednesday weekly press conference, head coach Anthony Lynn was asked about the fumbles and if Justin Jackson may see more carries as a result. The coach responded by saying “yeah you could see Justin if the fumbling continues, but I don’t expect that to continue.” Based on that response, it does not appear that fantasy owners need to worry about yet another running back taking some of the carries away from Gordon, as he already splits a lot of rushes with Austin Ekeler. I expect Gordon to have a bounce back game, as the season is coming to a close and he is trying to get paid top running back dollar this off-season. Put him in the low RB1 to high RB2 range.

Projection: 15.5 pts

Breshad Perriman:

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This week the Buccaneers will be against the Texans without their two (2) best wide receivers, Mike Evans and Chris Godwin who are out with injuries. However, the Texans are ranked 20th against wide receivers and are an inviting matchup for fantasy owners. During a Friday practice press conference, head coach Bruce Arians was asked about the offensive game plan and if he is going to pull back on the number of passing plays due to the young receivers, he has this week. The coach responded by saying “no, you put the guys that have been here in a position that you think they can be successful in and give Jameis the trust to go through his progressions and trust who is out there.”  Last week against the Lions, Breshad Perriman had a monster game with three (3) touchdowns and 113 yards on five (5) receptions. This is set up to be another great week for him, expect him to be in the WR1 range.

Projection: 18.5 pts

Todd Gurley:

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The Rams have a tough matchup this week against the 49ers, who are currently ranked first against the run this season and are coming off of a tough loss against the Falcons. During the Wednesday weekly press conference, Rams head coach Sean McVay was asked about his previous 20-7 loss to the 49ers and how having an available Todd Gurley this time around can help change the game plan.  The coach responded by saying “by playing like we expect him too whenever his number is called”, which I would say is pretty high, considering they made him the highest paid running back ever in the NFL. In the last three (3) games Todd Gurley is averaging 17.5 rushes for 64.5 yards, three (3) receptions for 24 yards, and a whole touchdown for a total of 17.80 points in standard PPR format. Given Gurley’s hot streak I still put the former MVP front runner in the RB1 range.   

Projection: 17.0 pts

T.Y. Hilton:

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Last week against the Saints, T.Y. Hilton was limited in play time because of missing the previous week due to a calf injury, resulting in only having four (4) receptions for 25 yards. During the Wednesday weekly press conference, Colts head coach Frank Reich was asked about T.Y. Hilton and his current health status after playing in last week’s game and if we can expect him to play more this week against the Panthers. The head coach responded by saying “he came out well” when referring to his health after playing last week, followed up by saying “yes he will be playing more.”  The coach also said “we are very committed to winning these last two (2) games – we had a very spirited meeting this morning – we want to prove trustworthy to the fans”.  All of this sounds very positive for T.Y. Hilton, who has been for the most part a major disappointment this season. It is also noted that the Panthers are ranked 26th against the pass this season, which is favorable. Expect T.Y. to get his share of targets and be in the low WR2 range this week.  

Projection: 11.5 pts

Austin Ekeler:

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Last week against the Vikings, Austin Ekeler proved that even after a bad performance which included two (2) fumbles, he still has a relatively safe fantasy floor. This week the Chargers will be against the Raiders who are 21st against the run and are an inviting matchup for fantasy owners. During the Wednesday weekly press conference, head coach Anthony Lynn was asked about the fumbles and if Justin Jackson may see more carries as a result. The coach responded by saying “yeah you could see Justin if the fumbling continues, but I don’t expect that to continue.” Based on that response, it does not appear that fantasy owners need to worry about yet another running back taking some of the carries away from Ekeler, as he already splits a lot of rushes with Melvin Gordon. I expect Ekeler to have a bounce back game, as he wants to prove that he is the man for the Chargers.  Put him in the high RB1 range this week.

Projection: 22.5 pts

Marlon Mack:

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Marlon Mack has been one of the biggest disappointments this season after coming off of a great season last year, with a current average of 11.5 fantasy points per game. During the Wednesday weekly press conference, Colts head coach Frank Reich was asked about the run game this season and if the numbers are bad because of the number of attempts or because they have not been executing. The coach responded by saying “it’s been both, the attempts haven’t been there, you have to get into a rhythm on it. We haven’t game planned it well enough as coaches, we haven’t executed it well enough as a team, and some of it is just the shear number of attempts. We are going to try and straighten that out in the next two (2) weeks”. On the topic of new plays, the coach also said he has “one subtle thing in mind that I don’t want to share for game planning reasons.” Based on those responses, it appears the Colts are still going to play hard and will be focusing on the run game. It is noted that the matchup against the Panthers this week is a favorable one, as they are ranked last in the league against the run. Expect Mack to see 15+ carries and be in the RB2 range.

Projection: 12.5 pts

Week 16 Fantasy Football Projections & Insights

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