The Kansas City Chiefs made a huge splash last night at the end of the 2020 NFL Draft. Many thought the Chiefs would go defense or trade out of the first round. Instead, the Chiefs selected running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire out of LSU.
Edwards-Helaire brings speed, quickness, pass catching and so much more to this Chiefs offense. This is a perfect fit for the team.
This was a pick that we later found out head coach Andy Reid talked to star quarterback Patrick Mahomes and asked who he wanted. Mahomes said CEH and the rest is history. Mahomes was not the only player excited to get the former LSU running back.
This is going to be a great fit for this team and it makes the offense terrifying for defenses.
On our podcast we have mentioned many times that if the Chiefs take a running back at pick 32, they should be the 1.01 in dynasty rookie drafts. CEH in his rookie season will split time with Damien Williams. By the end of the season I think CEH will become the certified number one running back on this team, and it won’t be close.
Looking at CEH’s numbers last season he rushed 215 times for 1414 yards and 16 rushing touchdowns. He is a play maker with the ball in his hands. This is someone who can easily rush for 1000 yards his rookie season.
Not only does he rush the ball great, he can catch the ball also. Last season CEH had 55 receptions for 453 yards and 1 touchdown. Those are impressive numbers, and tells me he can be a three down back.
I thought Kansas City didn’t run the ball?
Kareem Hunt proves that even if the Chiefs are a high flying passing offense, we can still see a lot of fantasy success. In 2018 Hunt, who ultimately was cut and only played in 11 games finished as the RB 11 in .5PPR leagues. He ran the ball 181 times for 824 yards and 7 touchdowns. Plus he was still involved in the passing game. Hunt caught 26 of 35 targets for 378 yards and 7 receiving touchdowns.
The 7 receiving touchdowns is something we cannot predict for CEH but there are signs of life for the rookie. This was the year Mahomes threw 50 touchdowns and 5000 yards and we saw a RB1 running back in fantasy for this team.
The Chiefs offense allows the running back to get great lanes to run through. You cannot load the box as a defense against the Chiefs. This is what allows the running back to have a higher yard per carry. For example CEH could run the ball 200 times and end with 1000 yards. That would be averaging 5 yards per carry, which is .5 yard/carry higher than the league average for 2019. Hunt averaged 4.6 yard/carry in 2018 and I think CEH can come close to if not hit that 5 yard/carry mark in 2020.
So, CEH doesn’t hit that mark, that is fine. Besides, CEH will have enough receiving work to make up for it. The Chiefs running backs had a total of 87 targets in 2019. That is not a terrible number. Let’s say the Chiefs throw the ball to the running back 100 times in 2020. That means CEH will probably get at least 50 targets. Let’s say he catches 40 for 300 yards and 3 receiving touchdowns. This would make him a RB 2 his rookie season.
If CEH hits those numbers in year one I think you the fantasy owner will be really happy. Going forward after year one he will only continue to get more and more work and become the man for the Chiefs. CEH should be the 1.01 in dynasty rookie leagues.
In 2020 redraft CEH would be a running back I would take in the 5th. Will he make it that far probably not. I would like to have him as the RB3 on my roster instead of relying on him to be the RB2. Earlier I stated I think he can be a RB2 this year. I am not comfortable taking a running back I know will be splitting time his rookie season before the 5th. What happens if the Chiefs do decide to take it slow. At least now with him as my RB3 on my team I have options.
I think the situation to compare CEH to is Miles Sanders of the Philadelphia Eagles. Sanders was the incoming rookie competing for playing time. He did not receive full RB1 work until Jordan Howard got hurt. Before that he was a RB3, someone you weren’t playing regularly but maybe a flex play. He was drafted as the 27th running back off the board at the 5.05 last year. I think this would be great value for CEH this year. Will that happen? More than likely no, because people will hype CEH up so much he is taken ahead of Damien Williams and as a 3rd for 4th round pick.
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