Am I the only one who thinks this season is going by too quickly? We have so much going on this year with COVID-19 and the presidential elections coming up, we needed football to bring us all together and take our minds off of everything that’s been happening…and somehow we are already a quarter of the way through the season!
Since we are already heading into week five you should have a good idea of where your fantasy team sits. Are you 4-0 or 3-1 looking to contend for a championship? Maybe you’re 0-4 or 1-3 looking to turn your team around. Regardless of your record, week five is the perfect time to go out and acquire players you’ve been eyeing up to add depth or talent to suit your team’s needs.
Five players to buy low before week five
“A beLL cOw rB cAn’T bE bOuGHt lOw, loOk aT JoE MixOn,” Yes Joe Mixon owner’s will always be stingy about trading him based on name (especially after last week), but we’re not talking Mixon we’re talking David Johnson, the 26th ranked RB in fantasy right now.
I know what you’re thinking, Johnson? A bell cow? Yeah right. Well the former NFL scrimmage yard leader has been on the field for 91.4% of snaps this year. From that snap share, Johnson has been averaging 14 touches a game on a negative game script in each game.
The Texans have had to throw the ball as they have played from behind against some of the best offenses paired with fantastic run defenses. (KC-13th fewest RB points per game, BAL-Third lowest, PIT-Second lowest)
Seeing this along with a slightly improved offensive line from last year leads me to believe some great games from Johnson could be coming as his near future schedule consists of Tennessee, Green Bay, and Jacksonville. All of which rank around 20th or lower in fantasy RB PPG. If the Texans stay within the pace of the game, David Johnson is a high-end RB2 in the coming weeks. (if healthy)
Despite leading the league in carries, Jacobs ranks seventh in rushing yards, hasn’t gotten in the endzone since week one, and is just RB12 on the season. Though this may look bad on paper, Jacobs has had three tough matchups in New Orleans, Buffalo, and New England.
Most fantasy managers would most likely be hesitant on giving up Jacobs as he has gone in the late first-round/early second in most drafts, but he is a player many are starting to panic on. If you could get the running back with the most opportunity at the position for his rank (RB10-12) you would be getting great value.
Heading into week five, Hollywood Brown is ranked under wide receiver 50 in all formats. Brown posted 101 yards on five receptions against Cleveland in week one. After that, fantasy managers didn’t know what to do with Baltimore’s number one wide receiver after two duds (five receptions for 42 yards against Houston and two for 13 yards against Kansas City).
What most managers don’t realize is that this was against two of the best teams at stopping the deep ball. Last week, Brown faced off against The Washington Football Team and was shadowed by two very capable cornerbacks throughout the game in Kendall Fuller and Ronald Darby. In this game, Brown posted a respectable stat line of four receptions for 86 yards. Brown also had a touchdown called back and over 200 air yards on eight targets.
Read more about how the Baltimore Ravens played in week four here
Brown is also getting a lot of opportunities to put up fantasy points as with six+ targets in each game. He also has a 25% target share of one of the best offenses in the NFL. Not to mention Brown ranks second in deep targets per game. Next week look out for Hollywood who could torch an exploitable Bengals secondary. If that happens, his buy-low window could close.
I also want to mention that his fantasy playoff schedule consists of Cleveland, Cincinnati, New York, and Jacksonville, all of which rank in the bottom half in the league at defending against wide receivers fantasy-wise.
Gallup is a player you should look to acquire cheap right now. The Dallas pass-catcher is getting significant opportunities on one of the most dynamic offenses in the NFL with Prescott passing for over 1,600 yards through week four.
Though Gallup ranks 40th in fantasy points per game, he ranks fourth in yards per reception (21.2) and 13th in yards per target (11.5). On top of this, Gallup running routes on 92.7% of snaps on the most pass-heavy team in the NFL. I know that it currently looks like Gallup is behind Amari Cooper and stud rookie CeeDee Lamb, but this offense can support three viable fantasy wide receivers, maybe not every week, but there will be plenty of weeks where Gallup puts up WR2 numbers.
Despite a solid road victory against the 49ers, Ertz converted five targets into four receptions for only nine total yards. Ertz was also facing the second-best defense in regards to defending the tight ends. Due to the Eagles currently having an abysmal receiving core, Ertz the main focus for the stout 49ers defense.
With other tight-end Dallas Goedert on IR, Ertz will be able to have more positional opportunities. Alshon Jeffery, DeSean Jackson, and Jalen Reagor will also be returning soon allowing Ertz to have less focus on him.
Better days are to come from the Philly tight end, though it may not be this week or next as he faces a very capable Pittsburgh and Baltimore defense, after that the schedule opens up as he will be set to face: New York Giants twice, Dallas twice, Cleveland, Seattle, Green Bay, New Orleans, and Arizona.
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