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Week 12 Running Back Locks

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Welcome to one of the first articles of the new and improved Time Skewed site! I have been writing Arizona Cardinals previews all season, but we are shifting our focus to more fantasy-oriented content. As big a Cardinals fan as I am, boy do I love fantasy football and I’m excited to share fantasy stories and knowledge going forward.

This week we’re going to tackle RB Locks for week 12, so if you’ve lost J.K. Dobbins to the ‘rona or are patiently waiting for a CMC return, here are some running backs you may not be sure of, who are primed for a big week.

Wayne Gallman

Image credits: gmenhq.com
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It may be happening finally, Wayne Gallman may be a thing. Gallman has had a chance the last few years to shore up the backup running back position on this team which he has never fully taken advantage of. In the last four games, he has double-digit rushing attempts and TD in each game. Devonta Freeman was signed after the latest season-ending injury to Saquon Barkley, and he was dominating the touches earlier. Freeman then proceeded to get injured, an opportunity Gallman has finally jumped on. The Giants have been playing pretty good ball these last few weeks, ranking 8th in rushing yards during that span. Gallman’s touches have also been trending in the right direction:

Wayne Gallman touches per PlayerProfiler.com

This week they travel to Cincinnati who have the third-worst rush defense in the league, and you can expect basically everything about the Bengals to be worse now with the season-ending injury to Joe Burrow. This is a slam dunk RB1 week for Gallman (which probably means we’re all getting this one wrong).

Darrell Henderson

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Running back committees are no fun, and the Rams situation is as random as it gets. Let’s take a look at the breakdown:

MetricDarrell HendersonMalcolm BrownCam Akers
Rushing yards492366201
YPC4.54.44.0
Receiving yards19210527
Redzone touches30157
Snap %38%49%13%
The LA Rams backfield breakdown

Darrell Henderson has been trending in the wrong direction, with three straight games with less than 10 rushing attempts. The Rams play the division rival San Francisco 49ers are middle of the pack in terms of rush defense, allowing 107 yards/game. The Rams have been playing very good football the last few weeks, and Henderson by most metrics is the best performer in that backfield. Henderson’s backfield mates haven’t been outperforming him, rather, the offense has not been rushing as often. Darrell is still the the best option in this backfield and playing a Nick Mullen‘s led 49ers team is a great spot for a big week.

Check out what some lessons we learned from fantasy football week 11 here

Zack Moss

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The problems with Zach Moss this year are really just a problem with the Bills rushing offense. A worry coming into the season with this backfield was how the touches were going to be distributed, but in the last two Bills games, Moss has out-snapped Devin Singletary 39-34 and 38-31. The problem with that is that has translated into only out touching Singletary 15-6 in those two games combined. The Bills have just abandoned all sense of a balanced offense so far this year.

MetricMeasureRank
Rush Attmps24.7/gaem24th
Rush Yards97.6 yards/game27th
Rush TD %29%25th
Buffalo Bills rushing rankings through week 11

Add to the fact that Josh Allen takes up so much of the valuable rushing attempts, he’s tied for 16th in the league for rushes inside the five-yard line. In three of their last six games, they have less than 20 rushes. But alas, Buffalo NY is about to get substantially colder and snowier.

Image credit: oregonlive.com
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The Bills will be forced to roll out a more balanced offense and the running back to do that on this team is Zack Moss, he has had more carries than Singletary every week since week seven, and he has been the RB of choice in the redzone. This week they match up against the Los Angeles Chargers, whose opponents the last three weeks have run the third-most rushing plays (50.6% rushing), and have averaged 122 yards/game. Those opponents included the Jets and Dolphins, neither of who have a formidable rushing attack. Zack Moss season is coming, and it should start this week.

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