Welcome back to a regular duration fantasy football week. For many people, it’s the first week of the fantasy playoffs and it’s time to start overthinking everything and screwing up your fantasy championship hopes. Bless the NFL for making it to week 14 of the fantasy season. Last time we went over RBs who were locks for the week, we had a rough week, which means this week we’re due for some great picks.
This week we’ll be trying to pick out five players who have been reliable fantasy starters who maybe need a rest week on your bench for week 14.
It’s been tough sledding for Clyde Edwards-Helaire owners this year, it’s been nice to have a first-round pick who has actually been playing, and he’s technically an RB1 on the season. However, since Le’Veon Bell joined the team in week six CEH hasn’t topped 77 all-purpose yards. It’s time to normalize sitting CEH if you have better options. That’s a rare situation but not impossible.
The Chiefs rushing offense is ranked 15th per DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average), and although they’re playing the worst rush defence of the last three weeks (in yards, they’re 19th in rushing defense DVOA), the Chiefs just aren’t committed to one guy. Especially when the one running back missed practice and last week’s game due to an illness. Over the last four weeks, CEH has played, he’s been outproduced by Wayne Gallman, Devontae Booker, and Duke Johnson among others. The Chiefs are incredible, but this year they just don’t care about running the ball.
Another big name first-round running back, although Ezekiel Elliott has been a much more publicized disappointment this year. Since Dak Prescott went down Zeke has posted miserable stat lines, except for the one decent outing he had against Minnesota in week 11. Here are some stats to back how bad he has been this year:
- The 47th ranked rushing grade per PFF (min 50 attempts)
- Leads all RBs with six fumbles
- He has ONE top 25 fantasy week since Dak went down
- 18th ranked DYAR per Football Outsiders (min 96 attempts)
- Below are his rushing charts from the last two weeks
It’s ok to bench a big name, this year isn’t it for Zeke. Week 14 has them against a very favorable matchup on paper, but in the last two weeks that defense has held Myles Gaskin to 12 STD fantasy points at 4.3 yards/rush, and Wayne Gallman registered 15 points at 3.9 yards/carry . IT IS OK TO BENCH ZEKE.
Kenyan Drake owners have had a solid RB2 this season but it’s been mostly due to opportunity rather than ability. He ranks 84th in fantasy points per opportunity and has only rushed for over 100 yards twice this year. This week the team travels to face a very stout New York Giants defense that ranks fourth in opponents rushing yards per game. On top of Drake’s meandering performances this season he also picked up a thigh injury in practice this week, something that may have the team give more touches to Chase Edmonds.
Jalen Hurts season is upon us, and he has the task of trying to improve the second-worst pass offense in the league (per DVOA). In the last three weeks, Dallas Goedert has led the team in targets, even with Zack Ertz coming back last week. The danger of playing Goedert this week is the massive unpredictability of what the QB will do for his weapons in his first-ever start. To make matters worse they go up against the New Orleans Saints this week who are top five in both receiving yards and points allowed. TE has been a wasteland all season, but in the most important fantasy week yet, having to rely on Goedert is a risky proposition.
The Lions won their first game free from Matt Patricia. Matt Stafford played well with the help of Marvin Jones (116 yards, one TD) and T.J. Hockenson (84 yards), but that hasn’t been a staple of the 2020 season. This was Marvin’s first game over the century mark on the season, and the reality is that this team is much better with Kenny Golladay in the lineup. He will be out once again this week against the Green Bay defense that gives the seventh-fewest fantasy points to opposing receivers. In the eight games since the Lions bye, Stafford has five games scoring less than 20 points. Without a large helping of garbage time production, this should be a down week for Matt.
Fortune favors the bold, rankings are for the weak, look at the stats and make your own choices. Good luck in week 14.